On the face of it, all is rosy in the Android garden. According to analysts Gartner, Android increased its market share by almost 20 per cent in the last quarter, compared to the same period in 2011, to 122,480,000 units sold, capturing a worldwide
market share of 72.4 per cent. Market
leader within the pack of attendant manufacturers is Samsung, selling almost
987 million devices in the same period to effect 22.9 per cent of the worldwide
market, gaining the number one spot in the market share league table.
If you dig a little deeper into the fi gures, however, there
are worrying concerns. To begin, Samsung also holds 40 per cent of the Android market
with its nearest competitors taking around 10 per cent, while even on a
national level, analysts uSwitch has five Android Samsung mobile phones occupying the
top ten smartphone seller slots in the UK.
Check out the revenue streams from other Android
manufacturers and it seems that, despite the general Android success, the only company actually
making money from the operating system is Samsung. Francisco Jeronimo, research
manager for European mobile devices at IDC, confirmed that view:
“For the next couple of years it will be Samsung dominating
growth, unless Google does something with Android and focuses more on Motorola.
For the time being, I don’t see any other vendors with such strong investment and
capacity to push Android. ”Does this translate to a problem lurking on the
horizon? Is Samsung becoming too big for Android? More to the point, does
Samsung’s dominance place Android under threat? Geoff Blaber, director of devices
and platforms at CCS Insight argues Samsung’s dominance of Android could end up
a problem if, for example, the Korean manufacturer’s attention moves elsewhere.
“Samsung accounts for around 40 per cent of Android’s
volume. There’s a huge reliance on one player and if you take the S III out of
the equation, Android is not as strong at the top end as Google would want it
to be. Apple still dominates the premium market. Should Samsung start to switch
allegiances, it would have serious implications for Android.” The relatively
low revenue streams from Android has certainly pushed HTC towards greater investment in the Windows
Phone operating system alongside Nokia, while LG and now Sony have announced Windows
phone developments – as has Samsung. This leaves Samsung in an odd situation.
It is already a dominant player within the Android universe and, by licensing
the free Android OS from Google, Samsung saves itself millions of dollars in software
development costs and license fees but, then again, leaves itself dependent on
Google. “It comes down to this sense of what it is Samsung wants to be,” said
Tony Cripps, principal analyst at Ovum.
“Do they really want to be one of the power players or are
they happy enabling someone else’s system?” The difference between it and the likes
of HTC, for example, is that Samsung is not just a phone maker, it does have, “the potential to create platforms
which deliver content and web services to TVs, PC, phones and media players and connect them,” said Caroline
Gabriel, research director at Rethink Technology Research. This is Samsung’s competitive
advantage, said Gabriel, as the world shifts more to web-based technologies
like HTML5, which reduce the relevance of individual operating systems and platforms
like Apple’s iOS and Android. Instead, applications will be more like webpages,
which can run on any device. Samsung can draw on its extensive supply chain, manufacturing
capability and research and development facilities to make this happen. For
now, no one denies Samsung’s pre-eminence and it is believed that Samsung is
more than happy to reap the Android benefits, but in five years’ time, it is
conceivable that we may see Samsung picking up its ball and going it all alone.
And what happens if in the meantime the other main players decide
their Android businesses are no longer viable, and decide to turn their
attentions elsewhere? For Android competition is not only healthy, it’s
essential to the future of the world’s most popular OS.
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